EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2020

Source:Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

Roy
We anticipate that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current warm neutral ENSO conditions appear likely to transition to cool neutral ENSO or potentially even weak La Niña conditions by this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are somewhat above normal. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average; however, most of the tropical Atlantic is warmer than normal. We anticipate...

Monthly Atlantic Tropical Weather Summary

Source: National Hurricane Center

Roy
NHC is the source of the info below Monthly Tropical Weather Summary NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone activity during October was slightly above normal for the Atlantic basin. Five named storms formed during the month and one of them became a hurricane. Another hurricane, Lorenzo, carried over from the month of September. One tropical depression also formed and failed to...

NOAA's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

NOAA increases chance for above-normal hurricane season

Roy

"August 8, 2019 NOAA forecasters monitoring oceanic and atmospheric patterns say conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity since El Nino has now ended. Two named storms have formed so far this year and the peak months of the hurricane season, August through October, are now underway."

 

Colorado State's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

Source: Colorado State University

Roy
"We continue to predict a near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast number of hurricanes has increased slightly to account for short-lived Hurricane Barry which formed in July. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remain near average. While the odds of a weak El Niño persisting through August-October have decreased, vertical wind shear in the Caribbean remains relatively high. The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States...

Identification of Water Damages in Adjusting Hurricane Claims for Water Losses Other Than Flood

Source: North Carolina Department of Insurance

CADO Admin
.... In adjusting hurricane damage claims for homes within the 1968-1997 applicable residential code period, it is important that the inside of the walls be checked more carefully than newer construction to ensure that moisture hasn’t seeped into the walls that will eventually result in mold and interior wall rot. If adjusters do not look for moisture build-up trapped inside the wall, then this damage could be missed, causing mold and rot to proliferate and resulting in bigger...

2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season

From Wikipedia

CADO Admin

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season was the third in a consecutive series of above-average and damaging Atlantic hurricane seasons, featuring 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes and a total of $33.3 billion (2018 USD) in damages. The season officially began on June 1, 2018, and ended on November 30, 2018. 

ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2016

Updated: 7/1/2016

CADO Admin
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2016 Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010 Issue Date 1 June 2016 - Updated 7/1 Information obtained through July 2016 indicates that the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season will have activity near the median 1981-2010 season. There remains considerable uncertainty with this forecast which we outline in the following paragraphs. We estimate that 2016 will have an additional 5 hurricanes (median is 6.5), 11 named...

Canadian Hurricane Centre

CADO Admin

The Canadian Hurricane Centre (CHC) provides Canadians with meteorological information on hurricanes, tropical storms and post-tropical storms to help them make informed decisions to protect their safety and secure their property.

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