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  NHC Atlantic Outlook

Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED JUST SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN


Stormin News

Saturday, June 01, 2013/Author: Roy/Number of views (460)/Comments (0)/ Article rating: No rating
Categories: NewsHurricanes

NOAA predicts active 2013 Atlantic hurricane season

In its 2013 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Centeris forecasting an active or extremely active season this year.

For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook says there is a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 7 to 11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

These ranges are well above the seasonal average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
Friday, May 24, 2013/Author: Roy/Number of views (0)/Comments (0)/ Article rating: No rating
Categories: NewsHurricanes
Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season May Start Out Active

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season May Start Out Active

The official start of the 2013 Eastern Pacific hurricane season is Wednesday, May 15.

With the season set to get underway, the tropics are already brewing as an area of unsettled weather crosses the eastern Pacific Ocean several hundred miles to the west of Panama.



Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2013/05/14/eastern-pacific-hurricane-season-may-start-out-active/#ixzz2TJrBK6sW
Tuesday, May 14, 2013/Author: Roy/Number of views (322)/Comments (0)/ Article rating: No rating
Categories: NewsHurricanes
Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2013

Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2013

From the 4/10 Colorado State Report;

We anticipate that the 2013 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have enhanced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously warmed over the past several months, and it appears that the chances of an El Niño event this summer and fall are unlikely. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them, and they need to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little activity is predicted. (as of 10 April 2013)

/Author: Roy/Number of views (62911)/Comments (0)/ Article rating: 5.0
Categories: Hurricanes
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2013 Landfall Probability

Current-Year Probability
(Using Poisson)
State Hurricane Major Hurricane
Texas 50% 20%
Louisiana 47% 20%
Mississippi 18% 8%
Alabama 26% 4%
Florida 71% 34%
Georgia 19% 2%
South Carolina 28% 7%
North Carolina 44% 13%
Virginia 11% 1%
Maryland 2% <1%
Delaware 2% <1%
New Jersey 2% <1%
New York 13% 6%
Connecticut 12% 3%
Rhode Island 10% 4%
Massachusetts 12% 3%
New Hampshire 2% <1%
Maine 7% <1%

Source: United States Landfalling Hurricane Probability Project

Storm Names - 2013 Season

  1. Andrea
  2. Barry
  3. Chantal
  4. Dorian
  5. Erin
  6. Fernand
  7. Gabrielle
  8. Humberto
  9. Ingrid
  10. Jerry
  11. Karen
  12. Lorenzo
  13. Melissa
  14. Nestor
  15. Olga
  16. Pablo
  17. Rebekah
  18. Sebastien
  19. Tanya
  20. Van
  21.  Wendy

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