The Storm Page

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On this page we provide information on hurricanes, current weather events, links to weather sites and weather related discussions.

All adjusters are invited to share weather information by posting it in the forum or adding your favorite weather links to the Resource Directory.

Also, if you have photos of weather related damage please share them by adding them to the Photo Gallery.

Yesterdays Storms Storms

Yesterday's Storm Reports

 


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Todays Storm Reports

Today's Storm Reports

 

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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

 

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Latest Weather News

NOAA updated 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Roy

'Extremely active' hurricane season possible for Atlantic Basin

August 6, 2020 - Atmospheric and oceanic conditions are primed to fuel storm development in the Atlantic, leading to what could be an “extremely active” season, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. Today, the agency released its annual August update to the Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, initially issued in May.

Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

Source: NOAA

Roy

From the NOAA Forecast;

"May 21, 2020An above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is expected, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. The outlook predicts a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.

 

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2020

Source:Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

Roy

We anticipate that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current warm neutral ENSO conditions appear likely to transition to cool neutral ENSO or potentially even weak La Niña conditions by this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are somewhat above normal. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average; however, most of the tropical Atlantic is warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

 

CSU researchers now predicting extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season

Roy

"Colorado State University hurricane researchers have increased their forecast and now predict an extremely active Atlantic hurricane season in 2020, citing very warm sea surface temperatures and very low wind shear in the tropical Atlantic as primary factors. Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures averaged over the past month are at their fourth-highest levels since 1982, trailing only the very active Atlantic hurricane seasons of 2005, 2010 and 2017. Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures provide more fuel for tropical cyclone formation and intensification. They are also associated with a more unstable atmosphere as well as moister air, both of which favor organized thunderstorm activity that is necessary for hurricane development."

M 5.1 - 4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina

Roy

Yellow alert for economic losses. Some damage is possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of the United States. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response.

Monthly Atlantic Tropical Weather Summary

Source: National Hurricane Center

Roy

NHC is the source of the info below

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone activity during October was slightly above normal for the Atlantic basin. Five named storms formed during the month and one of them became a hurricane. Another hurricane, Lorenzo, carried over from the month of September. One tropical depression also formed and failed to strengthen. Based on a 30-year climatology (1981-2010), two named storms typically form in the basin in October, with one of them becoming a hurricane. A major hurricane forms in the basin in October about every third year.

NOAA's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

NOAA increases chance for above-normal hurricane season

Roy

"August 8, 2019 NOAA forecasters monitoring oceanic and atmospheric patterns say conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity since El Nino has now ended. Two named storms have formed so far this year and the peak months of the hurricane season, August through October, are now underway."

 

Colorado State's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

Source: Colorado State University

Roy

"We continue to predict a near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast number of hurricanes has increased slightly to account for short-lived Hurricane Barry which formed in July. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remain near average. While the odds of a weak El Niño persisting through August-October have decreased, vertical wind shear in the Caribbean remains relatively high. The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean remains near its long-term average. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

(as of 5 August 2019)"

The above is an excerpt from the Forecast by Colorado State University.

Florida Hurricane Michael Claims Data

Source: Florida Office of Insurance Regulation

Roy
The Florida Office of Insurance Regulation is reporting a total of 78,688 claims as of October 18, 2018 with Total Estimated Insured Losses at $835,868,692.  See the report for additional details.

Super Typhoon Dolphin Becomes Earth's 5th Category 5 Storm of 2015

Source: Jeff Masters , 11:58 AM GMT on May 17, 2015

Roy
Super Typhoon Dolphin intensified into a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds and a central pressure of 925 mb at 2 pm EDT Saturday May 16, becoming Earth's fifth Category 5 storm of the year. Dolphin hung on to Category 5 strength for twelve hours before increasing wind shear helped knock the storm down to a Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds by Sunday morning. 

Large Hail Being Reported in OK, MO and KY Today

2" and larger reported

Roy
  • 4"  Franklin MO 38.22 -91.17 3-4 INCH HAIL. LARGEST HAIL WAS SPIKED... WITH DIAMETER MEASURED FROM SPIKE-TO-SPIKE. (LSX)
  • 3" Roger Mills OK 35.61 -99.58 (OUN)
  • 3" Roger Mills OK 35.66 -99.38 (OUN)
  • 3" Franklin MO 38.24 -91.17 (LSX)
  • 3" Franklin MO 38.24 -91.17 ROOF OF HOUSE HEAVILY DAMAGED. ALSO A CAR WINDSHIELD BROKEN FROM HAIL. (LSX)
  • 3"  St. Francois MO 37.78 -90.43 NW SIDE OF FARMINGTON. (LSX)
  • 3" Morgan KY 37.97 -83.05 (JKL)

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Hurricane Season,  Know before you go!

Weather Discussions

Hurricane Douglas may impact the Hawaiian Islands

Based on the latest reports and the current track it looks like Hurricane Douglas may impact the Hawaiian Islands.  Have you had an assignment on the Islands?   I have and there are som

Posted: 07/23/2020 2:34 PM Replies: 0

Hail damage photos

Anyone able to share hail damage photos to a roof for personal study and research? I would greatly appreciate it.. The more the better please share! Thank you.

Posted: 06/23/2017 9:06 PM Replies: 0

Flood Adjuster Survey

To All Flood Adjusters. Please take the time to take a 15 question survey by Flood Professional Claims Association. YOUR participation is APPRECIATED. Please click the link below: FloodPCA Survey

Posted: 12/01/2016 10:24 AM Replies: 1

Mod Bit Damaged or Toast?

OK I have attached pics of the roof I just looked at, I also included pic of spatter. I am pretty confident that the roof is just toast but I want opinions. I don't normally 2nd guess myself and don't

Posted: 02/08/2016 9:40 AM Replies: 5

Happy 1st day of the 2014 hurricane season!

So, NOAA says it will be a slow year, but they said last year would be crazy busy too, so we will see.    Anyway, stay safe out there, and happy new year from all of us at Accelerated :)

Posted: 06/01/2014 2:33 AM Replies: 5

5 Ways Claims Adjusters can prepare for Catastrophe Claims

The 2014 catastrophe season is almost upon us - so as a claims adjuster, are you ready? For many, the beginning of summer means relaxation and vacations, but if you’re an adjuster then summer us

Posted: 05/19/2014 1:06 PM Replies: 2

Flood Adjuster Qualifications Question?

I've heard there's a "number of years waiver" for former military personnel. The number of years is 4 consecutive, I've heard the military waiver makes it 1 year. Does anyone know if this is true.

Posted: 03/20/2014 4:58 AM Replies: 4

2014 Hurricane Season

From Tyler Stanfield's WunderBlog "Overview of the 2014 Season With the increasing odds of an El Nino event developing by the peak of the 2014 hurricane season, unfavorable conditions will likely

Posted: 03/06/2014 5:34 PM Replies: 12

Flood related to fires

At my last NFIP certification class the instructor mentioned something about floods that are related to fires, he flashed something on the screen, maybe it was a new rule or guideline and he seemed to

Posted: 02/28/2014 7:59 PM Replies: 5

big LA buildings right on earthquake faults

who knew? http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-hollywood-developments-straddle-quake-fault-maps-20140108,0,4483475.story#axzz2pq5YLgxE 

Posted: 01/08/2014 6:39 PM Replies: 3

Philippines Deployment

Has any one heard of US based firms deploying adjusters to help out in the Philippines?  If so, which ones and where can I apply?

Posted: 11/12/2013 12:07 PM Replies: 3

2013 Hurricane Season - Will we have a Cane?

So far we have not had any hurricanes, the media is stating that the 2013 season could set a new record for the latest season to have a hurricane form.   In recent history the latest first h

Posted: 09/04/2013 1:05 PM Replies: 19

CAT 94 4/2/13

Attending CAT 94 in Central Texas. Like Ray Hall always said............................. if your not working hail on Easter, Mother's Day, etc........... And Oh, the Applebee's parking lot guys are

Posted: 04/06/2013 3:26 PM Replies: 1

Question about wildfire claim

Hi everyone, I am relatively new to the field--starting my "second career"--and I am assisting with my first wildfire claim. The homeowners live about 100 feet from a substantial burn area

Posted: 01/23/2013 12:32 PM Replies: 6

Flood Macros for Xactimate

Anyone have flood macros for Xactimate?  I'm working in Long Island and it would save me so much time if I had good macros.

Posted: 11/30/2012 8:59 AM Replies: 4

2020 Hurricane Storm Names

  •  Arthur 
  •  Bertha
  •  Cristobal
    510 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020
    CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
      Satellite, radar, and surface data indicate that the center of
      Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall at 500 PM CDT (2200 UTC)
      along the coast of southeast Louisiana between the mouth of the
      Mississippi River and Grand Isle.  Maximum sustained winds were
      estimated near 50 mph (85 km/h) with a minimum central pressure of
      992 mb (29.29 inches).
  •  Dolly
  •  Edouard
  •  Fay
  •  Gonzalo
  •  Hanna
    Hurricane Hanna Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 
    500 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020
    ...5 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
    ...HANNA MAKES LANDFALL ON PADRE ISLAND TEXAS...
    
    The eye of Hurricane Hanna made landfall on Padre Island, Texas, at 
    500 PM CDT (2200 UTC) about 15 miles (20 km) north of Port 
    Mansfield, Texas, with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 km/h).
    ...HANNA MAKES A SECOND LANDFALL IN KENEDY COUNTY TEXAS...
    
    Hanna has made a second landfall at 615 PM CDT (2315 UTC) in 
    eastern Kenedy County, Texas, about 15 miles (25 km) north-northwest 
    of Port Mansfield, Texas with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 
    km/h).
    
  •  Isaias
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092020
    1115 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
     
    Doppler radar imagery and surface observations indicate that eye of 
    Hurricane Isaias made landfall in southern North Carolina 
    around 1110 PM EDT (0310 UTC) near Ocean Isle Beach, with maximum 
    sustained winds of 85 mph 
  •  Josephine
  •  Kyle
  •  Laura
  •  Marco
  •  Nana
  •  Omar
  •  Paulette
  •  Rene
  •  Sally
  •  Teddy
  •  Vicky
  •  Wilfred

Some Notable Cane Activity since we have been online

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