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Last Post 09/10/2011 8:43 AM by  ChuckDeaton
97L future Irene? a real threat?
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stormcrow
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08/20/2011 10:30 AM

    Now Harvey is rolling into Belize as the 8th TS without a hurricane, all eyes are watching 97L  now at 80% and likley to be Irene.  Although still a ways out  maybe it is time to check the equipment. This will be an interesting week.

    I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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    louisianataxman
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    08/20/2011 2:06 PM

    And the phone calls and emails begin!

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    Alex_Chernov
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    08/20/2011 8:32 PM
    This one could be for real.
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    stormcrow
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    08/21/2011 12:05 PM
    Irene is a real potential threat to SFLA. Models are split between the east coast and the west. It must survice Hispanola first then we can see from there. Friday could be landfall. Time to turn in your notice at 7-11.
    I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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    Tex Walker
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    08/21/2011 10:42 PM
    For someone (stormcrow) who says there not worried about hurricane season becuase you have a year long assignment.. you sure are worried about missing out it seems. We know the hurricane drill, we all watch The Weather Channel !
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    Cat 5 Greedy
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    08/21/2011 11:25 PM
    I am not liking the curve, god please, not ANOTHER year of that!

    BUT a hit to J-ville? You want to talk about destruction? I have done a LOT of inspections in the area and there is NO area in the entire U.S. with lower quality construction. the entire city will be flattened, mark my words!
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    olderthendirt
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    08/22/2011 11:04 AM
    I may be committed (many say I should be) but doesn't mean I am not interested. And the Weather Channel? Last place I'd go for information.
    Life is like a sewer, what you get out of it depends on what you put in it
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    Jud G.
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    08/22/2011 12:19 PM

    I don't know, its looking like last year's Hurricane Earl. This storm and forecast keep getting stronger. Subsequently, its chances of hitting conus are getting slimmer and slimmer...

     

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    olderthendirt
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    08/22/2011 12:41 PM

    Have a look at the five day track. This could miss but I would not bet on it.

    Life is like a sewer, what you get out of it depends on what you put in it
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    Jud G.
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    08/22/2011 1:30 PM
    You could be right. It looks like the models include the passing front as a factor that steers the storm to the north, but predicts that the front will just clip the top of the storm and not cause it to fully recurve. Thus the storm would just pass straight up.

    I'm looking at the continued revision of these forecasts that show a stronger storm and along with that, increased chances of its recurve. The more intense this thing gets, the chances that the front will have something to push out to sea.

    Savannah to Jacksonville have a very low strike history. Wilmington, NC however has a history of receiving many hurricanes.
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    CatAdjusterX
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    08/22/2011 7:14 PM
    Posted By Tex Walker on 21 Aug 2011 10:42 PM
    For someone (stormcrow) who says there not worried about hurricane season becuase you have a year long assignment.. you sure are worried about missing out it seems. We know the hurricane drill, we all watch The Weather Channel !


    Come on Tex what the F@#$ is your problem pal ????? You gotta throw a wrench into the machine why???
     

    For someone as busy as you claim to be, you sure seem to have enough time to call someone out !! Oh, yes before I forget, if your getting all your information from the weather channel, well uhm..............just sayin'

     

     

    "A good leader leads..... ..... but a great leader is followed !!" CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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    Alex_Chernov
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    08/22/2011 7:37 PM
    I went to a fortune teller last night. For 5 dollars she told me its gonna be NC.
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    Tex Walker
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    08/22/2011 7:53 PM
    Did I strike a nerve somewhere ? Or is it that everyone is on pins and needles watching Irene hoping and prayer she doesn't get swept out to sea... 3 years is along time to sit and wait for the cash cow to hit ! I shouldn't even say that since the carriers most likely hand you only 20-30 claims out of the gate.

    And Mr. Cat X-Man, who said I was busy and who did I call out ? The Weather Channel comment was meerly a joke to get a rise out of guys like you :)

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    sc_jay
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    08/23/2011 3:03 AM
    It looks like Floyd in 1999. Even without a direct hit. There will be work for the A-team.
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    sc_jay
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    08/23/2011 3:04 AM
    It looks like Floyd in 1999. Even without a direct hit. There will be work for the A-team.
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    stormcrow
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    08/23/2011 9:56 AM
    Florida most likely safe. SC north including NE and Nova Scotia are possbile. A double hit, possible. Miss the CONUS, anythings possible. This is not only a deepening Cat. 2 but is large hurricane. Even a near miss can do damage and put peoples lives at risk.
    I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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    Jud G.
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    08/23/2011 12:25 PM
    Posted By Jud G. on 22 Aug 2011 12:19 PM

    I don't know, its looking like last year's Hurricane Earl. This storm and forecast keep getting stronger. Subsequently, its chances of hitting conus are getting slimmer and slimmer...


    The storm's forecast continues to shift to the east.  Don't quit the day job just yet.  Although, I hear Nova Scotia is nice this time of year...

     

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    Jud G.
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    08/23/2011 12:28 PM
    Posted By sc_jay on 23 Aug 2011 03:03 AM
    It looks like Floyd in 1999. Even without a direct hit. There will be work for the A-team.

    The A-team's working now.

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    olderthendirt
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    08/23/2011 2:15 PM
    The models will change again, but east or west?? But what are the HWRT and GFDL and the Euro saying? The first two into NC. Haven't see the Euro yet.
    Life is like a sewer, what you get out of it depends on what you put in it
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    Jud G.
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    08/23/2011 2:55 PM

     ...I think it will be east.

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