Alex_Chernov Member Posts:67  
| 08/25/2011 5:54 PM |
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Hotel booked for a month across the bridge from NYC, come Irina, let's dance. |
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hostCatAdjuster.org Founder Posts:709 
| 08/25/2011 8:49 PM |
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Cat 5 Greedy I don't expect to see you post on this forum anymore. No need to waste your time.
For the most part the first 50 post made by a guest are moderated mostly to prevent spam. |
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claims_rayMember Posts:293
| 08/25/2011 10:06 PM |
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Everyone hold it down! The applause from Roy's last statement is deafening!
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CatAdjusterX Veteran Member Posts:964
| 08/26/2011 2:11 AM |
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Posted By CatAdjusterX on 24 Aug 2011 09:15 AM
Posted By stormcrow on 24 Aug 2011 12:19 AM
Getting very interesting. NC to Hampton Roads to LI (or maybr NYC) then New England then Nova Scotia. Pressure droping as it moves away from Hati. Surface winds have yet to catch up with flight level winds. There were 3 planes in the storm earlier. It will get stronger, it is likely to make land fallS. Get the vehicle serviced, packed and ready to load, and do not p** your pants in excitement yet. It could still miss the CONUS. Who has good contacts in Canada.
Well Irene is beginning to become a fish storm, I think mother nature is just toying with us for her own sadistic amusement.
Can I have a Mulligan on this one?
"A good leader leads.....
..... but a great leader is followed !!"
CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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| 08/26/2011 9:23 AM |
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This is not good. Flooding may be the worst. But the wind field is very wide and damaging winds could cover a very large section if the NE. Remember how wide spread the damage was from IKE in an area with many more people and buildings not designed for the winds.
"Can I have a Mulligan on this one" Yes lol. It is easy to get caught up in the small changes in the models. The best case for the CONUS would be a last minute shift to the west into NC and Virgina allowing the NE to escape the worst. But would not be good for NC.
I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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K ung Fu tzuMember Posts:76
| 08/26/2011 1:02 PM |
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I've been wondering for the past 48 hours if this thing has been overblown or not. The latest from Dr. Masters at Wunderground states that the mid-atlantic will be spared damaging winds; the eyewall has collapsed and not further intensification is expected. AND, it will be low-tide in NJ as the storm passes. The latest aircraft found only 90MPH winds and by tomorrow will most likely be below 74MPH whereever the storm makes landfall. This puts it in the category of the N'oreasters we get in Dec.
I can tell from my experience of living in the NY/NJ metro area that only because of the shear number of people living in this storms path will there be a chance of substantial claims, but that this is far from a full-blown catastrophic disaster. Our rivers are pretty full and flooding will be an issue for sure, so flood adjusters will be plenty busy. Likewise, possible flood spoilage and business income losses for those with off-premise power interruption coverage, which many do not. There is also sewer and drain backup endorsements, but many have coverage limitations of 5 or 10K. I've even seen 2K limits on some policies in NY. Many companies that write in this area will fast-track these claims.
JMHO, but from the phone calls and emails I've received, it appears that an entire brigade of adjusters are being deployed. Tread carefully before deploying, the expenses of getting here and staying here are extremely high and should be weighed with facts vs. the hope of the big one.
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Jud G. Advanced Member Posts:509
| 08/26/2011 1:42 PM |
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Can I have a Mulligan on this one?
Weathermen with Phd's make predicitions on a daily basis. They are also wrong on a daily basis.
If they can keep their jobs, I'm sure everyone here will grant you your Mulligan. |
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Jud G.Advanced Member Posts:509
| 08/26/2011 2:00 PM |
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Good stuff stormcrow. With building codes being better in NC and NC having a smaller population than NJ and NY, it wold be better on a grand scale that the storm spends more time on land in NC. A complete jog to the east to miss all land would be unlikely.
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K ung Fu tzuMember Posts:76
| 08/26/2011 2:57 PM |
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Jud,
Did you just say that building codes in NC are better than they are in NJ and NY!? I hope you meant to say that the building codes in NC are better than they were [in NC] previously.
NY, NJ and PA have mostly adopted the UBC and IFC in addition to their own municipal codes. If you sell your home, you're even required to bring the home up to code even if it was built in the 18th century. For new buildings, the restrictions are even tougher. Most of the structures along the coast line have seen far greater storms than Irene, are still standing and the majority are pre-FIRM.
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Alex_ChernovMember Posts:67
| 08/26/2011 7:00 PM |
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Generators and bottled water is gone in NYC!
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| 08/26/2011 8:46 PM |
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This reminds of Isobel and Ike, the strongs winds not making it to the surface. 12 hours of rain with weaken tree roots, storm winds over a very large are for many hours. But this may end up more like Floyd, a Floodicane. Also likely some very nasty storm surges, the worst high tide + surge + high waves couldb e bad for some areas. KNOW BEFORE YOU GO. For all you newbes and wanta bes, heres your chance, some where between 10 and 20% of you will not crash and burn. Just saw an email looking for 700 adjusters, you know who is looking to place double the number of adjusters they need.
I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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Alex_ChernovMember Posts:67
| 08/26/2011 11:01 PM |
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I went to the Oracle today. She said... I see water on water, trees among the trees and tears of the ocean. You have chosen your path, she said, and nothing can change it.
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okclarrydVeteran Member Posts:954
| 08/27/2011 9:22 AM |
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The Oracle sounds like some of the supervisors I've had in the past.
Larry D Hardin
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Alex_ChernovMember Posts:67
| 08/27/2011 11:11 AM |
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She used to be a manager at Home Deport, she admits. But, crystal ball is clear and it shows lots of drylf, rfg240 and pntp. Ahhh, yes and she said something about 2% hurricane deductible, not sure what she meant.
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Alex_ChernovMember Posts:67
| 08/27/2011 11:17 AM |
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Sorry, buddy, didn't see your post. Yes, I am still a one man independent corporation, my bet of bad weather panned out, I have been exptremely busy. As for being USAA certified, that is relevant in slow market. Which is not now. |
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| 08/28/2011 1:58 PM |
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We just witnessed the biggest HYPE in the history of storms which is going to equal a BUST as far as work is involved ! I hope the adjusters that drove all day and all night to get to the so-called staging sites enjoyed their scenic tour of America only to be turned around with a thank you for your response, but do the lack of claims, we will not be needing your services at this time.. You'll hear Hey, it's not over yet, we are only on the I storm and the peak is just around the corner ! hahahaha
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| 08/28/2011 2:19 PM |
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Tex, where are you getting your information? It appears to me that there still should be a large amount of claims, spread over an extremely large area. This is no Katrina, but should still generate alot of claims activity. |
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Alex_ChernovMember Posts:67
| 08/28/2011 3:26 PM |
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Tex Walker What a festival of weather talking heads, newbies and saving the world officials! But not much real work. There will be some for flood guys, and about a month worth of work for A team. And that's it.
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| 08/28/2011 5:37 PM |
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This will be a two week event, maybe three if (wind) adjusters are lucky.. There will be claims, mainly birdfeeders and windchimes displaced at best ! For the flood crew, there's where the lion share will be, a vast area of localized flooding and small commerical. It's too bad for the homeowners, and business owners, because these hard up restoration companies that mobilized, drove out and set up there million dollar operations will come out and suck up all the coverage on these businesses and residental claims. It's a shame that this happens when you haven't a hurricane or storm in 3 years.
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| 08/28/2011 5:42 PM |
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Tex you may be close on the work, I suspect there will be more wind work then you think. But as to the over hype. This was a big scare. If the winds had been able mix down to the ground it would have been really bad. NYC and the east coast got very lucky.
I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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