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Citizens Updates Hurricane Ian Estimates

Citizens Press Release

Roy

November 15, 2022 - Tallahassee

Citizens Property Insurance Corporation has updated its Hurricane Ian estimates to reflect additional costs expected from litigation and other claims-related expenses.

Citizens estimates that direct losses and loss adjustment expenses will total $3.8 billion from the Category 4 storm that slammed into Southwest Florida on September 28, 2022. This represents a significant increase over the preliminary estimate of $2.3 billion to $2.6 billion, which was based strictly on the results of a single hurricane model.


Hurricane Ian Insurance Claims

Updated 12/01

Roy

The Florida Office of Insurance Regulation (OIR) has reported that the Total Estimated Insured Losses per data as of 11/30/2022 is $10,153,877,514 and the total claims of 647,942 with 58.0% reported closed.

The information above is from the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation (OIR) website.

"OIR captures data in its efforts to evaluate catastrophe claims and compels all insurers to report data as of each required reporting date, per section 624.307, Florida Statutes. This aggregate information is compiled from claims data filed by insurers. It has not been audited or independently verified. Companies were required to begin submitting data on September 30, 2022, and the data covers all claims based on filings received by OIR to date. "

 

photo from the CADO Gallery,  not Ian Damage


Hurricane Ian Makes Landfall

CADO Admin

000
WTNT64 KNHC 281910
TCUAT4
Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
310 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IAN MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

NOAA Doppler radar imagery indicates that the eye of Ian made landfall along the southwestern coast of Florida near Cayo Costa around 305 PM EDT (1905 UTC). Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Ian's maximum sustained winds were estimated to be near 150 mph (240 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance data is 940 mb (27.75 inches).


NOAA still expects above-normal Atlantic hurricane season

August 4th Update

Roy

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions still favor an above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, according to NOAA’s annual mid-season update issued today by the Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service.

“I urge everyone to remain vigilant as we enter the peak months of hurricane season,” said Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. “The experts at NOAA will continue to provide the science, data and services needed to help communities become hurricane resilient and climate-ready for the remainder of hurricane season and beyond.”

NOAA forecasters have slightly decreased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (lowered from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 65% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has risen to 30% and the chances remain at 10% for a below-normal season. 

The above text is from the August 4th Update


NOAA predicts above-normal 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Roy

Ongoing La Niña, above-average Atlantic temperatures set the stage for busy season ahead

Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, are predicting above-average hurricane activity this year — which would make it the seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, which extends from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.


First tropical wave of the 2022 Season

Roy

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1805 UTC Sun May 8 2022

...TROPICAL WAVES...
The first tropical wave of the season has emerged off the W coast of Africa this morning. It is currently located along 14W S of 10N this morning, moving W at 10 kts. Numerous scattered to isolated strong convection is observed from 02N to 08N between the coast of Africa and 22W. Tropical wave guidance has it moving westward over the next 24-48 hours, crossing well S of the Cabo Verde Islands.


CSU June 2,2022 Hurricane Season Update

Roy

Quote from updated Forecast

"We have increased our forecast and now call for a well above-average Atlantic basin hurricane season in 2022. We anticipate that either cool neutral ENSO or weak La Niña conditions will predominate over the next several months. Sea surface temperatures averaged across portions of the tropical Atlantic are above normal, while most of the subtropical and mid-latitude eastern North Atlantic is much warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-normal probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."


AccuWeather's 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

Roy

"How will this season rank in terms of intensity? How many major hurricanes are forecast to form? And how many direct impacts to U.S. soil will there be? AccuWeather's top experts answer all of those questions and more.

By Kevin Byrne, AccuWeather senior editor

Published Mar. 30, 2022 10:59 AM CDT"

 

The above is from the Forecast, the photo is from the CADO photo Gallery, 


Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of slowing

NOAA's 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Update

Roy

The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is well underway, and atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain conducive for an above-average hurricane season, according to the annual mid-season update issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. 

The latest outlook reflects that the number of expected named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater) is 15-21, including 7-10 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), of which 3-5 could become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5 with winds 111 mph or greater). This updated outlook includes the 5 named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest 5th named storm on record.

Roof ESX

From the KB

Identification of Water Damages in Adjusting Hurricane Claims for Water Losses Other Than Flood

....

In adjusting hurricane damage claims for homes within the 1968-1997 applicable residential code period, it is important that the inside of the walls be checked more carefully than
newer construction to ensure that moisture hasn’t seeped into the walls that will eventually result in mold and interior wall rot. If adjusters do not look for moisture build-up trapped inside the wall, then this damage could be missed, causing mold and rot to proliferate and resulting in bigger problems for homeowners in the future.

...

Hurricane and Windstorm Deductibles

The source of the information below is the Insurance Information Institute, iii.org

Nineteen states and the District of Columbia have hurricane deductibles: Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia and Washington DC. Listed below are reports for these states detailing hurricane deductibles.

 

Historical Hurricane Tracks

Subject: Historical Hurricane Tracks
Description: The Historical Hurricane Tracks tool is an interactive mapping application that allows you to easily search and display Atlantic Basin and Eastern North Pacific Basin tropical cyclone data. 

Source: NOAA Climate.gov 
 

Some Notable Cane Activity since we have been online

2012

Hurricane Sandy (unofficially known as "Superstorm Sandy") was the deadliest and most destructive hurricane of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season, as well as the second-costliest hurricane in United States history. Classified as the eighteenth named storm, tenth hurricane and second major hurricane of the year, Sandy was a Category 3 storm at its peak intensity when it made landfall in Cuba.[1] While it was a Category 2 storm off the coast of the Northeastern United States, the storm became the largest Atlantic hurricane on record (as measured by diameter, with winds spanning 1,100 miles (1,800 km)).[2][3] Estimates as of March 2014 assess damage to have been over $68 billion (2013 USD), a total surpassed only by Hurricane Katrina.[4] At least 286 people were killed along the path of the storm in seven countries. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Photos - Discussions: Sandy Disscussion -

2011

Hurricane Irene, the storm slowly leveled-off in intensity as it struck the Bahamas and then curved northward after passing east of Grand Bahama. Continuing to weaken, Irene was downgraded to a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall on the Outer Banks of North Carolina on August 27, becoming the first hurricane to make landfall in the United States since Hurricane Ike in 2008. Early on the following day, the storm re-emerged into the Atlantic from southeastern Virginia. Although Irene remained a hurricane over land, it weakened to a tropical storm while making yet another landfall in the Little Egg Inlet in southeastern New Jersey on August 28. A few hours later, Irene made its ninth and final landfall in Brooklyn, New York City. Early on August 29, Irene transitioned into an extratropical cyclone hitting Vermont/New Hampshire after remaining inland as a tropical cyclone for less than 12 hours. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Photos - Discussions:

2008

Ike developed a large wind field as it moved northwestward across the Gulf of Mexico over the next 3 days, with tropical-storm-force winds extending up to 275 miles from the center and hurricane-force winds extending up to 115 miles from the center. The hurricane gradually intensified as it moved across the Gulf toward the Texas coast. Ike made landfall over the north end of Galveston Island in the early morning hours of September 13 as a Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The hurricane weakened as it moved inland across eastern Texas and Arkansas and became extratropical over the middle Mississippi Valley on September 14. It then moved rapidly through the Ohio valley and into Canada, producing wind gusts to hurricane force along the way. Source: NOAA

2005

Hurricane Katrina Was the deadliest and most destructive Atlantic tropical cyclone of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. It is the costliest natural disaster, as well as one of the five deadliest hurricanes, in the history of the United States. Katrina is the seventh most intense Atlantic hurricane ever recorded, part of the 2005 season that included three of the six most intense Atlantic hurricanes ever documented (along with #1 Wilma and #4 Rita). At least 1,833 people died in the hurricane and subsequent floods, making it the deadliest U.S. hurricane since the 1928 Okeechobee hurricane; total property damage was estimated at $108 billion (2005 USD),[1] roughly four times the damage brought by Hurricane Andrew in 1992. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Photos Discussions: 

2004

The 2004 Atlantic hurricane season was the costliest Atlantic hurricane season, until the following year. More than half of the 16 tropical cyclones brushed or struck the United States. The season officially began on June 1, and ended on November 30. Due to a Modoki El Niño – a rare type of El Niño in which unfavorable conditions are produced over the eastern Pacific instead of the Atlantic basin due to warmer sea surface temperatures farther west along the equatorial Pacific – activity was above average. The first storm, Alex, developed offshore of the Southeastern United States on July 31. It brushed the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic, causing one death and $7.5 million (2004 USD) in damage.[nb 1] Several storms resulted in minor impact, including tropical storms Bonnie, Earl, Hermine, and Matthew. In addition, hurricanes Danielle, Karl, and Lisa, Tropical Depression Ten, Subtropical Storm Nicole and Tropical Storm Otto caused no impact on land while tropical cyclones. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2003

Hurricane Isabel was the costliest, deadliest, and strongest hurricane in the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season. The ninth named storm, fifth hurricane, and second major hurricane of the season, Isabel formed near the Cape Verde Islands from a tropical wave on September 6 in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. It moved northwestward, and within an environment of light wind shear and warm waters it steadily strengthened to reach peak winds of 165 mph (265 km/h) on September 11. After fluctuating in intensity for four days, Isabel gradually weakened and made landfall on the Outer Banks of North Carolina with winds of 105 mph (165 km/h) on September 18. It quickly weakened over land and became extratropical over western Pennsylvania the next day. Source: Wikipedia Photo Credit: Jacques Descloitres, MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA/GSFC
Discussions: 458,000 ISO- Hurricane Isabel Claims, "Isabel", is a Hot Potato headed behind? and more..

2022 Atlantic Hurricane Storm Names

  • Alex
  • Bonnie
  • Colin
  • Danielle
  • Earl
  • Fiona
  • Gaston
  • Hermine
  • Ian
    • Ian makes landfall as a Cat 4 Hurricane at 03:10 PM EST on 9/28/2022 in Southwestern Florida
  • Julia
  • Karl
  • Lisa
  • Martin
  • Nicole
  • Owen
  • Paula
  • Richard
  • Shary
  • Tobias
  • Virginie
  • Walter

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Zombie Apocalypse Insurance
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Hurricane Douglas may impact the Hawaiian Islands
Based on the latest reports and the current track it looks like Hurricane Douglas may impact the Hawaiian Islands.  Have you had an assignment on the Islands?   I have and there are som
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Debby
T.D by Sunday? Debby? 50% percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. It is sitting in a good spot right now, something to watch over the weekend.
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2013 Hurricane Season - Will we have a Cane?
So far we have not had any hurricanes, the media is stating that the 2013 season could set a new record for the latest season to have a hurricane form.   In recent history the latest first h
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94l FUTURE ISAAC?
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Any Ice claim events Yet?
Has anyone been contacted to go to the northeast and handle any ice claims yet? Sounds like California is getting dumped on w/ rain up to 16" so far. Maybe the Santa  Anna winds will produce som
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Cane Categories

  • Cat 1 Hurricane
    - Sustained Winds 74-95 mph
  • Cat 2 Hurricane
    - Sustained Winds 96-110 mph
  • Cat 3 Hurricane
    - Sustained Winds 111-130 mph
  • Cat 4 Hurricane
    - Sustained Winds 131-155 mph
  • Cat 5 Hurricane
    - Sustained Winds greater than 155 mph

About

The Storm Page, this is the CADO version of a weather page. On this page we provide information on current weather events, links to weather sites and weather related discussions. All adjusters are invited to share weather information by posting it in the forum or adding your favorite weather links to the Resource Directory. Also, if you have photos of weather related damage please share them by adding them to the Photo Gallery.

ROOFESX

 

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