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Last Post 05/01/2012 4:56 PM by  workin smarter
La Nina waning
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Roy
CatAdjuster.org Founder
Posts:708


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03/15/2011 10:05 PM

     Quote from 3/14/11 article on WWL;

    Louisiana Climatologist Barry Keim says there's been a La Niña in place for about a year now and it's expected to disappear before the start of hurricane season.

    "Now this is particularly good news for Louisiana with regard to the 2011 hurricane season," said Keim. "We get more hurricane in La Niñas and fewer when conditions are neutral or in an El Niño, which is the opposite of a La Niña."

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    Mark
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    04/16/2012 10:45 AM
    While La Nina may be waning, the latest information points to a neutral or very slight El Nino.  And it doesn't appear at this time that the El Nino will kick in until after the summer.  A neutral or slight El Nino would not affect the developement of hurricanes the way an El Nino would.  Some studies I have found on the internet show that there are actually more landfall storms during a neutral ENSO period than during a La Nina year.  It also appears that - at least at this time - these storms will develope closer to the Eastern Seaboard, Carribean and in the GOM.  As far as how many storms and if there will be landfall, well, it's anyone's guess.  I'm leaning to an about normal season with a couple of landfalls.  And some are saying this could be Florida's year to get hit.  As usual, we'll just have to wait and see.
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    workin smarter
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    05/01/2012 4:56 PM
    Sounds like a busy season coming up. I know the volume in the Northeast has come to a near standstill after such a mild winter. I guess things have to balance out after the apocalypse up here last year!
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