CSU Forecast for 2024 Hurricane Activity CADO Admin / Thursday, April 4, 2024 / Categories: Hurricanes August 6 Update FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2024 We have maintained our forecast for an extremely active Atlantic hurricane season in 2024. We have reduced our forecast number of named storms slightly but have maintained all other numbers from our July update. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the hurricane Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean remain near record warm levels. Extremely warm sea surface temperatures provide a much more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification. We continue to anticipate cool neutral ENSO or La Niña during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, resulting in reduced levels of tropical Atlantic vertical wind shear. This forecast is of above-normal confidence. We anticipate a well above-average probability for major hurricane landfalls along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity. (as of 6 August 2024) Tags Colorado State University2024 Hurricane Season More links CSU Hurricane Seasonal Forecasting This page provides a link to the Press Release and the Full 2024 Hurricane Forecast Jul 9 2024 Forecast Update This link takes you to the complete PDF of the forecast update. CSU updated forecast summary and press release here This link takes you to the pdf of the updated forecast press release Related articles Hurricane Milton Helene NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season CSU June 2,2022 Hurricane Season Update COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM OCTOBER 14 – OCTOBER 27, 2021 Comment Collapse Expand Comments (0) warning You don't have permission to post comments.