FONT13 KNHC 010847
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 8(28) X(28)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
“The last hurricane that hit Hawaii was Hurricane Iniki in 1992, and Kauai took the brunt of the damage,” said Insurance Commissioner Gordon Ito. “Hurricane Iniki caused almost $2 billion in damages, which is about $3 billion in today’s dollars. It can take just one major storm to cause severe property damage, and we urge you to be prepared.”
Quote from article on Climate Central
"Tropical Storm Arthur, the first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season, is slowly churning its way up the East Coast. Expected to become a hurricane before Thursday, Arthur could make landfall in North Carolina, bringing with it a surge of seawater.
The threat has prompted the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to roll out for the first time its experimental storm surge maps, in an effort to help coastal residents better appreciate the dangers of such a sudden influx of water."
... read more
"Heavy rainfall over the weekend in southeast Saskatchewan has some communities struggling to keep up with the influx of water.
It's led to dangerous travel conditions after some highways were submerged or washed out, and several states of emergency were declared.
The city of Melville called a state of emergency just before 9 a.m. CST after significant rainfall in the area.
Up to 15 other communities have also declared states of emergency."