Each year, the elite forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami-Dade County break accuracy records. So it was last year, in their track forecasts for 15 tropical systems, including five hurricanes. At the same time, however, the hurricane center again struggled with intensity predictions. Indeed, last year it amassed greater errors than the historical averages. That said, for the forecast time periods of 36 hours, 48 hours, 72 hours and 96 hours, the hurricane specialists achieved the lowest track errors ever. (source: Sun-Sentinel.com) |