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Last Post 10/19/2011 6:28 PM by  ChuckDeaton
This is it. Computers and satellites are taking over.
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Olegred
Member
Member
Posts:363


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01/30/2010 3:44 PM
I love this new service. I get on the roof, circle the hits, then get to my car pull my laptop, press a few buttons and next day the diagram is ready. For 23 bucks! WoW! I am not sure how accurate they are overall, but the ones I've seen so far are not too bad. :)
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Leland
Advanced Member
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Posts:741


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01/31/2010 12:42 AM
The economics of technology advances and the labor market works like this:

When the technology (tools) is expensive or unavailable, the employer needs more people to do the grunt work.

When the technology is adopted there are several shifts:

1) fewer people are needed (this is the most obvious change)
2) the organizational pyramid steepens (instead of 15 supervisors over 150 workers (10 each) you might have 10 supervisors over 7o people (7 each)
3) with the help of the software or other tool each worker will do not only MORE work, but MORE ACCURATE WORK, FASTER and also will be expected to put more high level thinking into the work product. In other words, the computer is doing more of the drudgery and the worker has to be more skilled in the things that the supervisor used to take care of for him. Also because fewer workers are needed the employer will be able to choose from the better skilled workers for the positions that are left.

Just think about old movies were they had a giant room full of typists. The typists weren't paid to think, just to type. Nowadays a secretary can use all kinds of technology (which takes care of a lot of the typing and filing) but needs to be more skilled in various business aspects.

Same for adjusters. With technology the companies won't need adjusters that are good at measuring roofs quickly and accurately, or at least they won't need as many of them.

The companies will more likely need adjusters with better people skills, or more some kind of skill that the technology doesn't (yet) provide, like speaking a foreign language.

Just think about it: if there is a market place where 1000 adjusters are need and 1000 are available, and then next year with technology only 800 adjusters are needed, who is the carrier going to keep?

1) only the most experienced
2) Ones that have good people skills
3) ones better at following orders or ranking higher on a test, or having more licenses or certifications
4) ones that speak other languages or have special training (rope & harness, mold, asbestos, time element, muti-line experience, etc etc.

If you are very good at something the computer can do and you bring nothing else to the table you will not be competitive in the job market.
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Ray Hall
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01/31/2010 4:37 PM

Great post Leland, do you know of an catastrophe adjusters school that can teach people skills and cram 5 years into 3 days ? I don`t.

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Olegred
Member
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Posts:363


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02/01/2010 6:37 PM
Hell. yeah, computer is not going to explain coverage to insured, fight that contractor over whether there is damage, plan my day, drive my car, and all that. It's just a useful tool. And I agree, the work is being shifted to smarter, more productive and professional guys, let's hope I will be one of them :)
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Buford Gonzales
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10/13/2011 10:15 AM
This is a follow up to a previous comment I made here last year.

I've used Geo and Eagle this year. These were both wrong. They don't take in the variables for different pitch and often cannot see through foliage. I've been sent out, for a very small fee I might add, to re measure roofs and correct others estimates all year long. The roofers swear by Eagle, then admit to being paid for twice the squares on several roofs. Good adjusters are hard to beat if you want to save money on a claim. Just saying.
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CatAdjusterX
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10/14/2011 12:39 AM
Posted By Buford Gonzales on 13 Oct 2011 10:15 AM
This is a follow up to a previous comment I made here last year.

I've used Geo and Eagle this year. These were both wrong. They don't take in the variables for different pitch and often cannot see through foliage. I've been sent out, for a very small fee I might add, to re measure roofs and correct others estimates all year long. The roofers swear by Eagle, then admit to being paid for twice the squares on several roofs. Good adjusters are hard to beat if you want to save money on a claim. Just saying.

Great post Buford!

I wrote about this last year in regards to sat tech(EagleView/GeoEstimator) and I also touched on pictometry (a college kid duct taped to the bottom of a Cessna with a polaroid camera). I asked others if they see this emerging tech as friend or foe and the results were evenly split. I see the Sat tech as a great thing (Eagleview/GeoEstimator) provided it is utilized as a tool to enhance a good adjuster's estimate as opposed to using the tech in lu of said adjuster.

In the hands of a skilled adjuster, this will be a useful tool in situations where the roof of ANY risk is unstable,steep,high or otherwise not safe.

EagleView is now integrated with newer versions of XM8 and I have been told (I have no first hand knowledge) that the roof specs can be dropped into an adjusters estimate almost effortlessly. I am not sure who, but I believe that carrier X requires a sat tech roof report on any estimate where there is roof damage(in addition to a BOTG adjuster's estimate)

Many folks think this tech can replace the need of a BOTG adjuster entirely. I once thought that but as of now I don't.

First of all, this emerging tech isn't infallible and has and currently has a high % of inaccurate results. As this tech is refined, I am sure the results will be spot on however, this tech cannot tell you how many layers of roofing they are looking at, in instances of hail would be hard to pinpoint damage (unless obvious of course).

As far as taking the place of a BOTG adjuster entirely, I think the carrier position would like to see that at some point as first and foremost they are a for profit enterprize and any way to cut costs is desired. In today's litigious society, a carrier does not want to have the liability that goes along with adjusters climbing ladders and accidents at height and if they can eliminate that risk entirely they would be all for it.

They will still need adjusters for( interior damageIE...hurricane/tornado/flood).With sat tech and preferred contractor's, they could possibly eliminate the BOTG adjuster on hail claims (my bread and butter)

Will this happen? I don't think so, for atleast a few more years. I think we will see a reduction of our fee schedules if said adjuster no longer has to climb and measure each roof. But that would greatly increase the speed of estimate burdens and allow an adjuster to handle twice as many claims.

If they DID do this TOO soon, they will have big problems. I for one think there would be a mass migration of IA's turning into attorney consultants and god forbid.......a public adjuster. The amount of money left on a roof would be a PA's wet dream.

Anyways here is to hoping that is still far off on the horizon!

What do you guys think? 

"A good leader leads..... ..... but a great leader is followed !!" CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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stormcrow
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Posts:437


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10/14/2011 10:14 AM
If the industry truely believes they can do everything with technology and no field adjusters it will end up as a PAs and lawyers dream. In spite of the fact that many young people live by text TWITer and facebook, there is a place for human contact. Especially when going through the stress of an insurance claim (this assumes adjusters have not forgotting empathy in their desire to make millions). Does anyone remember articles about a program that could take camera pictures and measure rooms and siding. We will continue to change but we still need the field grunts (or will long enough for me to retire). Meanwhile back to my long over due break and getting ready for some Texas food and fishing.
I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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CatAdjusterX
Veteran Member
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Posts:964


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10/14/2011 5:36 PM
Posted By stormcrow on 14 Oct 2011 10:14 AM
If the industry truely believes they can do everything with technology and no field adjusters it will end up as a PAs and lawyers dream. In spite of the fact that many young people live by text TWITer and facebook, there is a place for human contact. Especially when going through the stress of an insurance claim (this assumes adjusters have not forgotting empathy in their desire to make millions). Does anyone remember articles about a program that could take camera pictures and measure rooms and siding. We will continue to change but we still need the field grunts (or will long enough for me to retire). Meanwhile back to my long over due break and getting ready for some Texas food and fishing.


Corn meal breaded catfish is an all time favorite of mine. When katrina had me in NOLA, I enjoyed the best fishing of my life and a little bayou in Southern Mississippi gave me  an average of 2 to 4 pound largemouth bass on every other cast. On the other casts I was pullin' in maybe 5 inch bluegills. Those damn blue gills, I probably pulled in 20 of those rascals and not even a one was much bigger than 5 to 6 inches. No fully grown panfish, but hey I am a guessin' those guppies are the reason the bass hit so hard.
"A good leader leads..... ..... but a great leader is followed !!" CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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Randall Crow
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Posts:1


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10/18/2011 7:58 AM
The same moves are being applied to my friends in the Court Reporting industry California is trying to replace them with voice to text computer programs. If you take the human element out of Court Rooms and Insurance claims pretty soon you find yourself in a courtroom with cameras and computers and no lawyers judges or juries.
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CatAdjusterX
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10/19/2011 5:31 PM
Posted By Randall Crow on 18 Oct 2011 07:58 AM
The same moves are being applied to my friends in the Court Reporting industry California is trying to replace them with voice to text computer programs. If you take the human element out of Court Rooms and Insurance claims pretty soon you find yourself in a courtroom with cameras and computers and no lawyers judges or juries.

..............................................

Wow, I never thought about that but "you are right !!" With Dragon type programs (I am sure the court reporter programs are way more complex then our home versions), I am guessing that will happen at some point. I don't think tomorrow because the tech is still being tweaked, but ouch for court reporters. Can a computer ask a defendant plaintiff prosecutor, defense attorney, civil attorney to repeat something that it did not hear(as many F&B court reporters do)?

It appears that adjusters, court reporters, Pilots, factory workers, heck just about all of us at some point will become obsolete.

Whilst not related to this discussion, the following seems to be a precursor to what is in store for our children and the type of world they will inherit: My 9 year old little girl is in a school district in SoCal that is no longer teaching handwriting curriculum(IE... Cursive). I am guessing that the hand written letter will fall by the wayside sometime VERY soon.

 

Robby Robinson

"A good leader leads..... ..... but a great leader is followed !!" CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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ChuckDeaton
Life Member
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Posts:1110


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10/19/2011 6:28 PM
My young friend is a graduate student, his desktop computer has a fast processor, fast, copious RAM and four screens. He uses Firefox to do his research on three screens, dictates into Word using Dragon and edits with White Smoke. After the Word document is emailed to a human editor and edited, it is printed to a PDF and emailed to the instructor.

His class work is on line. Other than a payroll signature there is no need for hand written documents, cursive or other wise.
"Prattling on and on about being an ass with experience doesn't make someone experienced. It just makes you an ass." Rod Buvens, Pilot grunt
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