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Last Post 05/22/2010 2:02 PM by  Ray Hall
Technology
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JayJ
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04/13/2010 3:01 AM

    I see a lot of posts on here praising or complaining about the increased reliance on technology. Many people have serious concerns about services like Eagle View, Pictometry, Geo-Estimators, taking their jobs.Let me say I'm a new adjuster ( 2 years) and the only thing I've adjusted since my licensing, is my expectations. I am however very experienced in roofing, 32 years licensed in Minnesota and certified Florida.

    I have worked as a production manager for 2 national roofing companies,  am Xactimate level 3 certified and teach roof estimating classes utilizing Xactimate.

    I am also general manager for a company called roofauthority.net

    How this all relates to this post, is this: The Fly by services listed in the first paragraph will never get good enough to replace an on site adjuster who knows what he's doing. Often times these services are off by 1-5 squares in roof area. They cannot give you an estimate if the roof is overshadowed by trees or has an addition less than 2 years old on it. Virtually worthless except as SF verification if they happen to agree with you.

    The site visit will not only ascertain damage, but will also address all the other things that need to be looked at, layers, type of shingle, drip edge or siders' edge, code compliance issues ( spaced decking, chimney crickets, ice and water, etc.) collateral damage, and let's not forget interacting with the homeowner.

    The method suggested seems to be send out some marginally trained adjuster to qualify the damage and have someone back at the office Sketch and scope. This actually works out better financially in the short run for the carrier, because an inexperienced person is more likely to leave something off of an estimate than he is to add something unneccessary . In short gentlemen, garbage in garbage out. These estimates will be shown to be invalid by the very software you are afraid of. This practice will backfire on the carriers and they will need experienced adjusters who will visit the site and do the complete job. An adjusters best friend may be the roofer who's well versed in the software and can create an estimate that is complete and will hold the insurer to task.

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    Allan Freeman
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    04/13/2010 12:24 PM

    Well said.

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    Ray Hall
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    04/13/2010 5:00 PM

    We all get wrapped up in what we can do to close the file. Please read the policy for the requirements. The insured can file @ 0800, submit his proof of loss at 0815, let the carrier inspect the property at reasonable times and demand payment at the end of time period for payment. The adjuster is not ask to do ANYTHING; except accept or reject is the only option the carrier/adjuster has.

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    Leland
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    04/13/2010 10:57 PM
    there is a similar issue with carpet. 12' wide room doesn't really have any waste. But adjusters nowdays can't do drop and roll calculations because they have never been taught. So XM8 added an automatic feature to add waste factor. And now even fewer adjusters can correctly calculate carpet waste. So the technology does the thinking, but it is not always done correctly. just my 2 cents, thanks for letting me share.
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    stormcrow
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    04/14/2010 11:17 AM
    I recently took over some files where the adjust did not add waste to roofing, as Xmate did the waste for carpets he assumed it did the waste for the roof. The average modern high billing young adjuster doesn't have time to read the notes in Xmate and learn.
    I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my grandfather, not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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    jlouden
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    04/14/2010 1:25 PM
    Having the satellite imaging is not, nor will it ever be used in lieu of an adjuster. People in this business need to stop acting like it is. It's a verification, another tool you can use in the adjustment of a loss. Just like Xactimate didn't kill the need for good adjusters, satellite imaging is not going to kill it either.

    As an independent, having a tool like that only helps strengthen the validity of your report. Also, I have not seen any carriers adopt the use, but I have seen many of the IA firms mandate it.
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    JayJ
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    04/14/2010 3:28 PM

    Good point Leland.

    When I talk to people who have been using various software for many years the problem many of them seem to have is that the software programs were developed by techies with little or no experience in the field they are designing for.

    I think Xactimate started out like many of the others, but along the way they have actually started to make some progress in adapting to what field users really need.

    It seems now that often times when I go into work on interior items like carpet, the problems come more from my lack of understanding than from the software. I'm not saying the software is perfect by any means, but that now my knowledge may be lagging behind in some areas.

    Either way it keeps life interesting and keeps me learning.

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    johnpostava
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    04/18/2010 11:45 PM
    History Lesson with regards to adjusting software development:

    Xact was started by a contractor for other contractors. Simsol was started by an adjuster for other adjusters. Both programs write best-of-breed estimates when in the hands of good estimators. If an adjuster or contractor are too closely relying on either package to estimate their losses they are a train wreck waiting to happen. Know your craft, learn how to hand write and calculate your losses and you will be a success in adjusting or contracting. As they say in golf "It's not the ARROW it's the INDIAN!" Software is only as good and the person at the computer. If you don't know what waste factor percentage to add to your carpet calcs, read a book and learn how to do it. There are carpet and flooring calculating software programs out there that cost thousands of dollars - it's not easy. Adjusters make an educated guess and most of the time come very close. Contractors live and die by their numbers so they have to be right on the mark or a little over for a cushion. If an adjuster's calcs come up short, a supplemental claim will not keep them up at night. If a contractor comes up short, he's lucky to break-even on the carpet for the job.

    I just returned from two of the largest trade shows and conferences in our industry (PLRB for standard property losses and the National Flood Conference for water claims) - I can't sleep, still strung out from the airline flights so CADO is relaxing me. This year's hurricane season is predicted to be VERY active. There is still time to learn your craft, learn your craft, and (yes), learn your craft! If you are reading this post you are in a great industry. Software will not save the adjuster who doesn't know what he or she is doing but it will make a true professional look outstanding - and in our business that means more claims and a secure future....just my two cents..
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    Leland
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    04/19/2010 2:08 AM
    I worked for a restoration contractor and also a carpet outlet that managed the installation. I was taught by one person so I don't know how other people do it. Here's how I learned to do carpet waste sometimes called the drop and roll method:

    Draw little rectangles more or less to scale for each room. Don't worry where you put them on the page, but it helps to separate them from each other unless you have the typical 2 bedrooms/closets where they are both 12' wide and the closets are next to each other- draw those together because the 2 bedrooms and 2 closets can be calculated as one long room.

    mark the dimensions

    Next it helps to get a different color pen to draw the carpet layout, so you can see the difference between the room and the carpet you are rolling out.

    So for example if you have a 9' x 10' room, you can draw an imaginary piece of carpet that is 12' x9 or oriented 90 degrees the other way, draw 12' x 10', or draw both rectangles to be thorough. Normally you should use 12' x something, because most carpet is 12' wide. A lot of popular carpets also come 15' wide, and can be easily ordered 15" wide, but 12' is most common. So draw the carpet rectangles 12' x whatever covers the room.

    In the example above the 9' piece (cut from a 12' wide roll) would have a waste piece of 2' x 9'. Orienting the carpet the other way, and cutting 10' off the roll, would yield a waste piece of 3 x 10.

    I actually had to dray the little rectangles to be able to type the sentence above, you might be able to do it in your head but seeing it on paper is way easier.

    So obviously the way you orient the carpet affects the amount of waste.

    But here's where it gets tricky. Let's say the only other rooms getting carpet are two 3' x 5' closets. Both of these two closets can be carpeted from the waste when you create a 3 x 10 waste piece. So if you ordered only 10' off the 12' wide roll you would have basically zero waste for the 3 rooms.

    (And an XM8 estimate might give you 10% waste)

    You really can't see this going on unless you draw the rooms and play around with the carpet orientation. Doing these little drawings and playing around with it takes a little bit of time but it reduces the amount of money spent on carpet.

    This was part of my job to make these little drawings so we could order the least amount of carpet and have as little waste as possible. I would often go over it with the installer because if the installer didn't know how I was laying it out he might come up short.

    You would be surprised how often the waste would be zero or just a few square feet.

    I would do a similar thing with tile to sometimes just order barely enough, and not have a left over box. Three percent waste on tile was not unusual. With certain major hardware stores I wouldn't worry about calculating carefully, because if we bought there we could return any extra boxes. (But the prices were higher)

    To put this carpeting in Xactimate you would specify the dimensions of the cuts for each room; ie. 10' from a 12' roll; 15' from a 12' roll, etc. You can also specify the waste generated ie. waste piece 3' x 12'. And THEN you can do an upstairs closet and enter the install material quantity as "0" and specify in your note that the carpet is coming from the waste piece in the downstairs living room.

    For such a closet you would need 3 line items:

    removal only at actual sq footage
    material only at zero sq footage
    labor only at actual sq footage

    You can't go as crazy with different orientations of the carpet if there is an obvious pattern to the weave of the carpet- turning things 90 degrees works fine on a shag carpet, impossible with a patterned berber.

    Also, like big red taught me, the insured might deserve to get new carpet that runs the same direction as before, to minimize the appearance of the seams.

    If you ever see a patterned berber in a big room like a bank lobby the seams will be very obvious. We used to make the customer sign a waiver if they insisted on patterned berber with seams.

    As you can see, it is a little time consuming to calculate drop and roll, and that's a big reason people don't do it. I don't do it much anymore, and nobody expects me to either.

    But you should think twice about allowing 10% waste on a room that is 12' wide.
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    CatAdjusterX
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    05/20/2010 8:55 PM
    I think we all agree that these Sat and pictography advancements cannot replace an IA out in the field.
     
    I just spent  many hrs looking in to all the supposed progress with the tech involved with a Cessna flying over a CAT  area with some guy strapped to the bottom with an instamatic Kodak camera ( I am being sarcastic !!)
    But anyway, after all the experts and whatnot stating folks no longer have to deal with innacurate measurement from the likes of human beings, there is a small disclaimer at the bottom of all these pictography tech sites and they all state the same thing
     
        THE MEASUREMENTS DERIVED FROM THE USE OF PICTOGRAPHY TECHNOLOGY IS NOT DEEMED ACCURATE FOR PURPOSES OF INSURANCE CLAIMS AND LITIGATION AND CIVILO ENGINEERING SCHEMATICS
     
    Now even though we again know these technologies cannot replace an IA, the carriers know that but these techs are much cheaper than we are and I think in the long run, carriers care more about costs and profit over accuracy and taking care of the insured who submits a claim.
     
    So , I have come to expect in the years to come ZERO loyalty from the carriers that we have fought WITH TOGETHER in the trenches taking care of there insureds and they will drop us asap , now again , this can't happen for a few years to come.
     
    But my acquired knowledge makes me akin to a  FIREARM, effective in the hands of whoever is holding the weapon and with the limitations of the technology that Jay effectively points out, not able to give you age of roof, how many layers of shingles are under the top layer and many things that can cause roof failure to keep out the elements that are not visible to the naked eye that will cause many roofs to be underscoped and shall I say AGAIN, these claims would be fertile and ripe for a second look from another entity, my knowledge can go both ways if you get my meaning !!
    "A good leader leads..... ..... but a great leader is followed !!" CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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    CatAdjusterX
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    05/20/2010 9:00 PM
    Jay , You have convinced me that many of my fears are unfounded( NOT ALL) , thanks for holding steady with your views ,you are going to do very well in the IA industry my friend , now if we can just teach your buddy how to spell, we are happy all around !!
    "A good leader leads..... ..... but a great leader is followed !!" CatAdjusterX@gmail.com
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    Jud G.
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    05/20/2010 11:34 PM
    Posted By Jay R on 13 Apr 2010 03:01 AM

    The site visit will not only ascertain damage, but will also address all the other things that need to be looked at, layers, type of shingle, drip edge or siders' edge, code compliance issues ( spaced decking, chimney crickets, ice and water, etc.) collateral damage, and let's not forget interacting with the homeowner.

    Good points Jay and I hope carriers will begin to shift in your favor back against the inevitable trend towards relying on very limited inspections in the wake of supplemental technology.  Mostly, it is the smaller carriers that chose the purist and old fashioned way of doing things.  I seek vendors who seek this business and continue to be safe for now.


    I am a daily adjuster who has seen an erosion of my work due to contractors who arrive to complete estimates and prepare photos for free of charge to the carrier.  There are programs set up to incorporate their use provided they comply with carrier performance guidelines.  I also happen to dabble in the occasional catastrophe when the daily gets too slow (so far just one two week stint has been needed after two years of daily work).  I see this increasing in the future and will do what I can to avoid it and continue my commitment to daily work.
     

    It's great to surround yourself with words you want to hear, but as the events unfold, I am forced to improve upon my game or face the inevitable.  On my recent cat trip, I met a couple of carpenters that were assigned to inspect the roof and provide the information you mentioned above.  They did not have to secure dimensions.  The dimensions and diagrams were all secured by satellite.

     

    As for home visits, I am a likeable guy when it comes to dealing with the homeowner, but let's face it- the general public thinks insurance adjusters are scum.  Therefore, if the major insurance carrier can present a reasonable offer without putting the homeowner through the concern of who their adjuster may be, then they've won.

     

    For the thousands upon thousands of catastrophe claims that can be resolved from a desktop, a business decision comes into play and absolves the need and cost for an onsite visit.  Unfortunately, your credible points only work for the small percentage of claims that end up in the hands of the few and the proud adjusters who are experienced and/or are on top of their game.  Sadly, though, these adjusters will be working harder per claim because of this aspect.  Hopefully, these carriers will readily concede to allow TE billing when needed- many are becoming more averse to this.

     

    I suspect that it is those claims that can't be resolved from a desktop are the ones that either have a tree blocking it or those with insureds who are considered morale (not necessarily moral) hazards- like those in their respective state's 'fair plan'.  As you know, weather prone is not the only thing that makes insured's a risky and/or expensive prospect, but that's another subject.

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    PDB
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    05/21/2010 2:13 AM

    Jlouden, Right now, there is at least one large carrier considering a satellite based program for measuring roofs and they could go live this year.

    CatadjusterX, I get your meaning and I anticipate that the continuous dumb-ing down of the carrier staff by specialization, workload, and micromanagement will present quite a few claims where a second look is justified.

    JayJ, Beans have been counted and I suspect the satellite technology is here to stay.  You have to think like you are a few levels up the Totem pole to grasp why satellite measuring is going to be so huge.  It allows a desk adjuster to get basic measurements, write a basic estimate, and get money to the insd.  The ball is now in the insds court and if the insd takes the money and makes due 7 times out of 10, there are huge savings.  Two of the remaining ten will have decent contractors and negotiation will be in order.  The last is one of Ray’s clients who has presented his demand.  Then the carrier sends a specialist out to do the good adjusting work and settle the claim.  In this scenario, the carrier wins big, all while acting in good faith and appearing to take care of the insd.  What does the carrier have to gain in sending out a specialist like yourself on every loss when you would most likely mean paying out more on claims?  Keep in mind, money saved (not spent due to good & fair adjusting) cannot be quantified and therefore does not exist to carrier management.

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    brighton
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    05/21/2010 8:53 PM
    PDB is correct when he says if it cannot be quantified, measured, bar graphed, or power pointed then it is an item that does not exist or is considered a cost they cannot recover through premium increases and must be eliminated.

    I would guess that this is at least the 5th time in my career that the carriers have gone from using independents and a lot of staff to more desk adjusting types. Today though with the incresed technology, massive reliance on computer generated estimates and so much of the management who have spent either limited time or no time in the field, the return of using either staff or ia will be slow in returning for field work. It takes major disasters where the number of qualified people were in short supply along with some very sharp insurance comissioners grilling the carriers as to why did they not physically inspect the losses for what repairs were needed since they are now asking for heafty rate increases.

    There will be a need for field inspections as PDB agrees with. The only thing I wonder is if the fee bill will be reduced as the carrier will already have the measurements, cost of materials and labor and they will only need a yes or no to the question as to the disputed damages.
    Rocke Baker
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    Ray Hall
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    05/22/2010 2:02 PM
    It,s very good to read post from staff adjusters who can see the whole picture. This could be done in 24 hours if the plan is in place. The agent and the call center have the same network to input the first notice of loss, WITH a scope of the loss in the insureds words. The adjuster can be a staff in the office or an IA @ home(really no diff., but tell the truth IF ask. Adjuster then works the file with the tech. available and communication with the insured by email, phone or faw.IF the inside needs eye balls, he sends out eye balls by zip code for a nomimal amount. Eye balls sends back on lap top a short report and requested photos to ASSIGNED adjuster by a lap top in the auto with a flat rate bill. The assigned adjuster then downloads the complete file to the carriers server. The 2nd adjuster(if needed downloads and follows up to conclusion by e . If settled again request supp. check. If not, go to personal vist. Over 90% will be settled with a license adjuster seeing the property. This will not change this fig. as 90% are already settled this way. BUT it would save millions in UNRECOVERABLE adjusters cost, which should be a great concern to all stockholders and mutual insurance plans.This started in 2005 and is was very evident in 2009 & 2010.

    The old wrecker drivers who use to chase the police radio for business, stopped when it was not profitable, but they did invest in new tech. to tow in front wheel drive autos. We will always have a job, but it will not always be like it use to be.
     
    Do any cat. only adjusters know the type of regular losses that are assigned to local IA's. Only ones that are very minor that need some eyeballs, OR ones that are very complex large, that would take their best adjusters out of the office for 1/2, 1 or even 2 days to work one claim. And this person could have closed 5, 10 or 20 losses inside the office.  I am not your enemy, but I will cut my fee,s to get work. I call it getting the same or better for less.We all must get better each day or starve out. Opp, sorry the carriers and vendors use the words that are softer like "let the vine dry up" and the  fruit will fall.
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