The Storm Page

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On this page we provide information on hurricanes, current weather events, links to weather sites and weather related discussions.

All adjusters are invited to share weather information by posting it in the forum or adding your favorite weather links to the Resource Directory.

Also, if you have photos of weather related damage please share them by adding them to the Photo Gallery.

Yesterdays Storms Storms

Yesterday's Storm Reports

 


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Todays Storm Reports

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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

 

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Latest Weather News

Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

Source: NOAA

Roy

From the NOAA Forecast;

"May 21, 2020An above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is expected, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. The outlook predicts a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.

 

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2020

Source:Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

Roy

We anticipate that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current warm neutral ENSO conditions appear likely to transition to cool neutral ENSO or potentially even weak La Niña conditions by this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are somewhat above normal. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average; however, most of the tropical Atlantic is warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

 

Monthly Atlantic Tropical Weather Summary

Source: National Hurricane Center

Roy

NHC is the source of the info below

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone activity during October was slightly above normal for the Atlantic basin. Five named storms formed during the month and one of them became a hurricane. Another hurricane, Lorenzo, carried over from the month of September. One tropical depression also formed and failed to strengthen. Based on a 30-year climatology (1981-2010), two named storms typically form in the basin in October, with one of them becoming a hurricane. A major hurricane forms in the basin in October about every third year.

NOAA's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

NOAA increases chance for above-normal hurricane season

Roy

"August 8, 2019 NOAA forecasters monitoring oceanic and atmospheric patterns say conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity since El Nino has now ended. Two named storms have formed so far this year and the peak months of the hurricane season, August through October, are now underway."

 

Colorado State's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

Source: Colorado State University

Roy

"We continue to predict a near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast number of hurricanes has increased slightly to account for short-lived Hurricane Barry which formed in July. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remain near average. While the odds of a weak El Niño persisting through August-October have decreased, vertical wind shear in the Caribbean remains relatively high. The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean remains near its long-term average. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

(as of 5 August 2019)"

The above is an excerpt from the Forecast by Colorado State University.

NOAA 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Issued: 23 May 2019

CADO Admin
2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook: Summary

a. Predicted Activity

NOAA's outlook for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season indicates that a near-normal season has the highest chance of occurring (40%), followed by equal chances (30%) of an above-normal season and a below-normal season. See NOAA definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2019

Source: Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

CADO Admin

"We anticipate that the 2019 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have slightly below normal activity. The current weak El Niño event appears likely to persist and perhaps even strengthen this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are slightly below normal, and the far North Atlantic is anomalously cool. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average. We anticipate a slightly below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."

Identification of Water Damages in Adjusting Hurricane Claims for Water Losses Other Than Flood

Source: North Carolina Department of Insurance

CADO Admin

....

In adjusting hurricane damage claims for homes within the 1968-1997 applicable residential code period, it is important that the inside of the walls be checked more carefully than
newer construction to ensure that moisture hasn’t seeped into the walls that will eventually result in mold and interior wall rot. If adjusters do not look for moisture build-up trapped inside the wall, then this damage could be missed, causing mold and rot to proliferate and resulting in bigger problems for homeowners in the future.

...

2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season

From Wikipedia

CADO Admin

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season was the third in a consecutive series of above-average and damaging Atlantic hurricane seasons, featuring 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes and a total of $33.3 billion (2018 USD) in damages. The season officially began on June 1, 2018, and ended on November 30, 2018. 

Florida Hurricane Michael Claims Data

Source: Florida Office of Insurance Regulation

Roy
The Florida Office of Insurance Regulation is reporting a total of 78,688 claims as of October 18, 2018 with Total Estimated Insured Losses at $835,868,692.  See the report for additional details.

CSU team decreases forecast, now calls for near-average 2018 Atlantic hurricane season

Source: Colorado State University

CADO Admin
Colorado State University hurricane researchers have decreased their forecast from their early April prediction and now call for a near-average Atlantic hurricane season. The primary reason for this decrease is anomalous cooling in the tropical Atlantic.

The weak La Niña that occurred this past winter has dissipated, and there is the potential that a weak El Niño could develop by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season (August-October). However, the forecast team believes that neutral ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) conditions are the most likely scenario for this year’s season. El Niño tends to increase upper-level westerly winds across the Caribbean into the tropical Atlantic, tearing apart hurricanes as they try to form.

The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past two months and is now colder than normal. In addition to providing less fuel for tropical cyclone formation and intensification, cooler tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are associated with a more stable atmosphere as well as drier air, both of which suppress organized thunderstorm activity necessary for hurricane development. The far North Atlantic also remains colder than normal, potentially indicative of a negative phase of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation.

The above is from the article.  Click the title to read more.

 

 

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Hurricane Season,  Know before you go!

Weather Discussions

Hail damage photos

Anyone able to share hail damage photos to a roof for personal study and research? I would greatly appreciate it.. The more the better please share! Thank you.

Posted: 06/23/2017 9:06 PM Replies: 0

Flood Adjuster Survey

To All Flood Adjusters. Please take the time to take a 15 question survey by Flood Professional Claims Association. YOUR participation is APPRECIATED. Please click the link below: FloodPCA Survey

Posted: 12/01/2016 10:24 AM Replies: 1

Mod Bit Damaged or Toast?

OK I have attached pics of the roof I just looked at, I also included pic of spatter. I am pretty confident that the roof is just toast but I want opinions. I don't normally 2nd guess myself and don't

Posted: 02/08/2016 9:40 AM Replies: 5

Happy 1st day of the 2014 hurricane season!

So, NOAA says it will be a slow year, but they said last year would be crazy busy too, so we will see.    Anyway, stay safe out there, and happy new year from all of us at Accelerated :)

Posted: 06/01/2014 2:33 AM Replies: 5

5 Ways Claims Adjusters can prepare for Catastrophe Claims

The 2014 catastrophe season is almost upon us - so as a claims adjuster, are you ready? For many, the beginning of summer means relaxation and vacations, but if you’re an adjuster then summer us

Posted: 05/19/2014 1:06 PM Replies: 2

Flood Adjuster Qualifications Question?

I've heard there's a "number of years waiver" for former military personnel. The number of years is 4 consecutive, I've heard the military waiver makes it 1 year. Does anyone know if this is true.

Posted: 03/20/2014 4:58 AM Replies: 4

2014 Hurricane Season

From Tyler Stanfield's WunderBlog "Overview of the 2014 Season With the increasing odds of an El Nino event developing by the peak of the 2014 hurricane season, unfavorable conditions will likely

Posted: 03/06/2014 5:34 PM Replies: 12

Flood related to fires

At my last NFIP certification class the instructor mentioned something about floods that are related to fires, he flashed something on the screen, maybe it was a new rule or guideline and he seemed to

Posted: 02/28/2014 7:59 PM Replies: 5

big LA buildings right on earthquake faults

who knew? http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-hollywood-developments-straddle-quake-fault-maps-20140108,0,4483475.story#axzz2pq5YLgxE 

Posted: 01/08/2014 6:39 PM Replies: 3

Philippines Deployment

Has any one heard of US based firms deploying adjusters to help out in the Philippines?  If so, which ones and where can I apply?

Posted: 11/12/2013 12:07 PM Replies: 3

2013 Hurricane Season - Will we have a Cane?

So far we have not had any hurricanes, the media is stating that the 2013 season could set a new record for the latest season to have a hurricane form.   In recent history the latest first h

Posted: 09/04/2013 1:05 PM Replies: 19

CAT 94 4/2/13

Attending CAT 94 in Central Texas. Like Ray Hall always said............................. if your not working hail on Easter, Mother's Day, etc........... And Oh, the Applebee's parking lot guys are

Posted: 04/06/2013 3:26 PM Replies: 1

Question about wildfire claim

Hi everyone, I am relatively new to the field--starting my "second career"--and I am assisting with my first wildfire claim. The homeowners live about 100 feet from a substantial burn area

Posted: 01/23/2013 12:32 PM Replies: 6

Flood Macros for Xactimate

Anyone have flood macros for Xactimate?  I'm working in Long Island and it would save me so much time if I had good macros.

Posted: 11/30/2012 8:59 AM Replies: 4

Sandy - NHC debating removing name for deductible purposes

Here's a video conversation that occurred on the Weather Channel recently, between Brian Norcross and Jim Cantore. They raise some interesting questions, that could have far reaching legal implicatio

Posted: 10/27/2012 11:08 PM Replies: 8

2020 Hurricane Storm Names

  •  Arthur 
  •  Bertha
  •  Cristobal
    • CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA

      Satellite, radar, and surface data indicate that the center of 
      Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall at 500 PM CDT (2200 UTC) 
      along the coast of southeast Louisiana between the mouth of the 
      Mississippi River and Grand Isle.  Maximum sustained winds were 
      estimated near 50 mph (85 km/h) with a minimum central pressure of 
      992 mb (29.29 inches). 

  •  Dolly
  •  Edouard
  •  Fay
  •  Gonzalo
  •  Hanna
  •  Isaias
  •  Josephine
  •  Kyle
  •  Laura
  •  Marco
  •  Nana
  •  Omar
  •  Paulette
  •  Rene
  •  Sally
  •  Teddy
  •  Vicky
  •  Wilfred

Some Notable Cane Activity since we have been online

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