The Storm Page

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On this page we provide information on hurricanes, current weather events, links to weather sites and weather related discussions.

All adjusters are invited to share weather information by posting it in the forum or adding your favorite weather links to the Resource Directory.

Also, if you have photos of weather related damage please share them by adding them to the Photo Gallery.

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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

 

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Latest Weather News

NOAA updated 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Roy

'Extremely active' hurricane season possible for Atlantic Basin

August 6, 2020 - Atmospheric and oceanic conditions are primed to fuel storm development in the Atlantic, leading to what could be an “extremely active” season, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. Today, the agency released its annual August update to the Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, initially issued in May.

Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

Source: NOAA

Roy

From the NOAA Forecast;

"May 21, 2020An above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is expected, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. The outlook predicts a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.

 

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2020

Source:Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

Roy

We anticipate that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current warm neutral ENSO conditions appear likely to transition to cool neutral ENSO or potentially even weak La Niña conditions by this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are somewhat above normal. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average; however, most of the tropical Atlantic is warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

 

CSU researchers now predicting extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season

Roy

"Colorado State University hurricane researchers have increased their forecast and now predict an extremely active Atlantic hurricane season in 2020, citing very warm sea surface temperatures and very low wind shear in the tropical Atlantic as primary factors. Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures averaged over the past month are at their fourth-highest levels since 1982, trailing only the very active Atlantic hurricane seasons of 2005, 2010 and 2017. Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures provide more fuel for tropical cyclone formation and intensification. They are also associated with a more unstable atmosphere as well as moister air, both of which favor organized thunderstorm activity that is necessary for hurricane development."

Monthly Atlantic Tropical Weather Summary

Source: National Hurricane Center

Roy

NHC is the source of the info below

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone activity during October was slightly above normal for the Atlantic basin. Five named storms formed during the month and one of them became a hurricane. Another hurricane, Lorenzo, carried over from the month of September. One tropical depression also formed and failed to strengthen. Based on a 30-year climatology (1981-2010), two named storms typically form in the basin in October, with one of them becoming a hurricane. A major hurricane forms in the basin in October about every third year.

NOAA's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

NOAA increases chance for above-normal hurricane season

Roy

"August 8, 2019 NOAA forecasters monitoring oceanic and atmospheric patterns say conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity since El Nino has now ended. Two named storms have formed so far this year and the peak months of the hurricane season, August through October, are now underway."

 

Colorado State's Updated 2019 Hurricane Forecast

Source: Colorado State University

Roy

"We continue to predict a near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast number of hurricanes has increased slightly to account for short-lived Hurricane Barry which formed in July. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remain near average. While the odds of a weak El Niño persisting through August-October have decreased, vertical wind shear in the Caribbean remains relatively high. The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean remains near its long-term average. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

(as of 5 August 2019)"

The above is an excerpt from the Forecast by Colorado State University.

NOAA 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Issued: 23 May 2019

CADO Admin
2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook: Summary

a. Predicted Activity

NOAA's outlook for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season indicates that a near-normal season has the highest chance of occurring (40%), followed by equal chances (30%) of an above-normal season and a below-normal season. See NOAA definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2019

Source: Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

CADO Admin

"We anticipate that the 2019 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have slightly below normal activity. The current weak El Niño event appears likely to persist and perhaps even strengthen this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are slightly below normal, and the far North Atlantic is anomalously cool. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average. We anticipate a slightly below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."

Identification of Water Damages in Adjusting Hurricane Claims for Water Losses Other Than Flood

Source: North Carolina Department of Insurance

CADO Admin

....

In adjusting hurricane damage claims for homes within the 1968-1997 applicable residential code period, it is important that the inside of the walls be checked more carefully than
newer construction to ensure that moisture hasn’t seeped into the walls that will eventually result in mold and interior wall rot. If adjusters do not look for moisture build-up trapped inside the wall, then this damage could be missed, causing mold and rot to proliferate and resulting in bigger problems for homeowners in the future.

...

2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season

From Wikipedia

CADO Admin

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season was the third in a consecutive series of above-average and damaging Atlantic hurricane seasons, featuring 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes and a total of $33.3 billion (2018 USD) in damages. The season officially began on June 1, 2018, and ended on November 30, 2018. 

Florida Hurricane Michael Claims Data

Source: Florida Office of Insurance Regulation

Roy
The Florida Office of Insurance Regulation is reporting a total of 78,688 claims as of October 18, 2018 with Total Estimated Insured Losses at $835,868,692.  See the report for additional details.

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Notable October Hurricanes

  • Michael  2018
  • Matthew  2016
  • Super Storn Sandy 2012 - Not a hurricane at landfall
  • Wilma 2005
  • Mitch 1998
  • Opal 1995
  • Hazel 1954

2020 Hurricane Storm Names

  •  Arthur 
  •  Bertha
  •  Cristobal
    510 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020
    CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
      Satellite, radar, and surface data indicate that the center of
      Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall at 500 PM CDT (2200 UTC)
      along the coast of southeast Louisiana between the mouth of the
      Mississippi River and Grand Isle.  Maximum sustained winds were
      estimated near 50 mph (85 km/h) with a minimum central pressure of
      992 mb (29.29 inches).
  •  Dolly
  •  Edouard
  •  Fay
  •  Gonzalo
  •  Hanna
    Hurricane Hanna Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 
    500 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020
    ...5 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
    ...HANNA MAKES LANDFALL ON PADRE ISLAND TEXAS...
    
    The eye of Hurricane Hanna made landfall on Padre Island, Texas, at 
    500 PM CDT (2200 UTC) about 15 miles (20 km) north of Port 
    Mansfield, Texas, with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 km/h).
    ...HANNA MAKES A SECOND LANDFALL IN KENEDY COUNTY TEXAS...
    
    Hanna has made a second landfall at 615 PM CDT (2315 UTC) in 
    eastern Kenedy County, Texas, about 15 miles (25 km) north-northwest 
    of Port Mansfield, Texas with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 
    km/h).
    
  •  Isaias
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092020
    1115 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
     
    Doppler radar imagery and surface observations indicate that eye of 
    Hurricane Isaias made landfall in southern North Carolina 
    around 1110 PM EDT (0310 UTC) near Ocean Isle Beach, with maximum 
    sustained winds of 85 mph 
  •  Josephine
  •  Kyle
  •  Laura
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 29A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132020
    100 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020
     
    ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LAURA MAKES LANDFALL
    NEAR CAMERON LOUISIANA...
    ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING
    OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...
    
  •  Marco
    600 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2020 
    ...MARCO MAKES LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI...
  •  Nana
  •  Omar
  •  Paulette
  •  Rene
  •  Sally
    Hurricane Sally Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL  AL192020
    500 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
    ...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE SALLY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR GULF SHORES ALABAMA... ...CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST... At approximately 445 AM CDT...0945 UTC...the center of Hurricane Sally's eye made landfall near Gulf Shores, Alabama, as a Category 2 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph (165 km/h) and a minimum central pressure of 965 mb (28.50 inches). 
  •  Teddy
  •  Vicky
  •  Wilfred

Weather Discussions

Hurricane Douglas may impact the Hawaiian Islands

Based on the latest reports and the current track it looks like Hurricane Douglas may impact the Haw

Posted: 07/23/2020 2:34 PM Replies: 0

Hurricane Michael, FL, GA, SC, AL.

Does anyone know of any adjusting firms or insurance companies looking for adjusters following Hurri

Posted: 10/12/2018 7:22 AM Replies: 1

Hail damage photos

Anyone able to share hail damage photos to a roof for personal study and research? I would greatly a

Posted: 06/23/2017 9:06 PM Replies: 0

Flood Adjuster Survey

To All Flood Adjusters. Please take the time to take a 15 question survey by Flood Professional Clai

Posted: 12/01/2016 10:24 AM Replies: 1

Matthew the Beast

This one is going to ruin peoples lives. Already this afternoon it is a Cat 3, and the latests

Posted: 09/30/2016 11:52 AM Replies: 1

Mod Bit Damaged or Toast?

OK I have attached pics of the roof I just looked at, I also included pic of spatter. I am pretty co

Posted: 02/08/2016 9:40 AM Replies: 5

Happy 1st day of the 2014 hurricane season!

So, NOAA says it will be a slow year, but they said last year would be crazy busy too, so we will se

Posted: 06/01/2014 2:33 AM Replies: 5

5 Ways Claims Adjusters can prepare for Catastrophe Claims

The 2014 catastrophe season is almost upon us - so as a claims adjuster, are you ready? For many, th

Posted: 05/19/2014 1:06 PM Replies: 2

Flood Adjuster Qualifications Question?

I've heard there's a "number of years waiver" for former military personnel. The number of years is

Posted: 03/20/2014 4:58 AM Replies: 4

2014 Hurricane Season

From Tyler Stanfield's WunderBlog "Overview of the 2014 Season With the increasing odds of an El

Posted: 03/06/2014 5:34 PM Replies: 12

 

Hurricane Season,  Know before you go!

More Hurricane Info

 

Wind Speeds

  

  • Cat 1 Hurricane - Sustained Winds 74-95 mph
  • Cat 2 Hurricane - Sustained Winds 96-110 mph
  • Cat 3 Hurricane - Sustained Winds 111-130 mph
  • Cat 4 Hurricane - Sustained Winds 131-155 mph
  • Cat 5 Hurricane - Sustained Winds greater than 155 mph

Hurricane Deductibles

Nineteen states and the District of Columbia have hurricane deductibles: Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia and Washington DC. Use the source link below for additional info on each state.

Trigger: an event that is needed for a hurricane deductible to be applied. Hurricane deductibles are “triggered” only when there is a hurricane, or a tropical storm. Triggers vary by state and insurer and may apply when the National Weather Service (NWS) "names" a tropical storm, declares a hurricane watch or warning or defines the hurricane's intensity. Triggers generally include a timing factor, i.e., damage occurring within 24 hours before the storm is named or a hurricane makes landfall up to as long as 72 hours after the hurricane is downgraded to a lesser storm or a hurricane watch cancelled.
Source: iii.org, follow this link for full article and more information,  https://www.iii.org/article/background-on-hurricane-and-windstorm-deductibles  

Hurricane Katrina

Was the deadliest and most destructive Atlantic tropical cyclone of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. It is the costliest natural disaster, as well as one of the five deadliest hurricanes, in the history of the United States. Katrina is the seventh most intense Atlantic hurricane ever recorded, part of the 2005 season that included three of the six most intense Atlantic hurricanes ever documented (along with #1 Wilma and #4 Rita). At least 1,833 people died in the hurricane and subsequent floods, making it the deadliest U.S. hurricane since the 1928 Okeechobee hurricane; total property damage was estimated at $108 billion (2005 USD),[1] roughly four times the damage brought by Hurricane Andrew in 1992. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Photos Discussions: 

Some Stats

Costliest tropical cyclones to impact the United States (cost values are based on the 2020 Consumer Price Index adjusted cost) Source: NOAA 

  • Katrina 2005 Cat 3 $170.0B
  • Harvey 2017 Cat 4 $131.3B
  • Maria 2017 Cat 4 $94.5B
  • Sandy 2012 Cat 1 $74.1B
  • Irma 2017 Cat 4 $52.5B
  • Andrew 1992 Cat 5 $50.5B
  • Ike 2008 Cat 2 $36.9B
  • Ivan 2004 Cat 3 $28.7B
  • Wilma 2005 Cat 3 $25.8B
  • Michael 2018 Cat 5 $25.5B
  • Rita 2005 Cat3 $25.2B

Source NOAA Document of the above Stats